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Missed Clinic Visits Linked to Tripled Risk of Death in U.S. HIV Group

April 2015

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A 6-year study of 3672 US adults with HIV infection linked missing three or more HIV clinic appointments to more than a tripled the risk of death from any cause.1 Two other methods of determining steady clinic attendance found a link between poor attendance and more than a doubled risk of death from any cause.

In recent years HIV researchers have begun to study the impact of steady HIV care on response to antiretroviral therapy and survival. For a person with HIV, the continuing interaction with healthcare professionals involves getting diagnosed with HIV infection, starting care for HIV, staying in care, starting antiretroviral therapy, and reaching an undetectable viral load. Of the 1.2 million HIV-positive people in the United States, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimates that only 25% are in care, started antiretroviral therapy, and reached an undetectable viral load.2 Other research shows that staying in care and keeping the viral load undetectable lowers chances of illness, death, and passing HIV to a sex partner.3-5

To underline the importance of getting into care for HIV infection and staying in care, the US Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS)6 and the Institute of Medicine7 spelled out standards for HIV-positive people staying in care. Both of these sets of standards focus on the number of visits a person attends in a certain period. Researchers who conducted this new study1 wondered if measuring the number of scheduled appointments a person misses may also predict how well that person does in care and even how long that person lives.

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To evaluate these two methods of measuring staying in care -- visits made and visits missed -- these researchers studied more than 3600 HIV-positive people starting antiretroviral therapy.


How the Study Worked

This analysis involved HIV-positive people in care at five US clinics that are part of a larger HIV study group, the Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS). Every 3 months workers at the clinics send findings on the care and health of individual patients to a central database that collects this information for the whole CNICS network.

This study focused on people starting their first antiretroviral combination at one of the five CNICS clinics at any time from January 2000 through July 2010. All study participants were alive 24 months after starting antiretroviral therapy. From that 24-month point, the researchers used national health records to determine how many people died of any cause. The research team used three methods to measure HIV care appointment keeping through 24 months by study participants (Table 1). Missed visits were those the patient or the provider did not cancel in advance.


Table 1. Three Methods of Measuring Appointment Keeping by People With HIV
MethodDefinition
Institute of MedicineTwo kept visits at least 90 days apart in a 12-month period. For this study, the researchers recorded kept visits over two consecutive 12-month periods.
Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS)At least one kept visit in each 6-month period over a 24-month period, with at least 60 days between visits in each 6-month period.
Missed-visit definitionMissed visits over a 24-month period, grouped as 0 missed visits, 1 to 2 missed visits, or more than 2 missed visits.


Then the researchers used standard statistical methods to determine how the three measures of appointment keeping over 24 months affected the risk of death after that 24-month period. They performed a separate statistical analysis to see how the third definition -- missed visits -- affected risk of death in people classified by the first two methods as good appointment keepers. These statistical analyses considered the impact of other factors that might affect appointment keeping (age, race, sex, and initial viral load and CD4 count). As a result these analyses can determine how the three methods of appointment keeping affected risk of death regardless of whatever other risk factors a person had.


What the Study Found

The researchers assessed 3672 people, 2952 (80%) of them men, 1950 (53%) white, 1377 (38%) black, and the rest of other or unknown ethnic backgrounds. Age averaged 38 years, and CD4 count averaged 220 before people started antiretroviral therapy. Everyone was in care at one of five clinics in Birmingham, Alabama, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, Cleveland, San Diego, or Seattle.

Proportions of people who kept HIV care appointments were 64% by the Institute of Medicine definition and 59% by the DHHS definition (Figure 1). Similar proportions of study participants missed 0 visits (32%), 1 to 2 visits (39%), or more than 2 visits (29%). Study participants missed an average 2.1 visits.


HIV Appointment Keeping Measured Three Ways

HIV Appointment Keeping Measured Three Ways

Figure 1. About 60% of adults kept clinic appointments in the 24 months after starting antiretroviral therapy, according to definitions by the Institute of Medicine (IOM) and the US Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS). (See Table 1 for definitions.) Similar proportions (about one third) missed 0 visits, 1 or 2 visits, or more than 2 visits in the 24 months after starting antiretrovirals.


Median observation time from when people started antiretroviral therapy was 6 years. From a point starting 24 months after antiretroviral therapy began, 332 people (9%) died to yield a death rate of 20.6 deaths per 1000 person-years (meaning about 20 of 1000 people died every year).

Death rates were lower in people who kept appointments by the Institute of Medicine definition (16.0 per 1000 person-years) or by the DHHS definition (15.3 per 1000). The death rate was even lower in people who missed no clinic appointments (11.3 per 1000). In contrast, death rates were higher in people who missed visits by the Institute of Medicine definition (29.5 per 1000) or by the DHHS definition (29.0 per 1000) and in people who missed 1 or 2 visits (20.4 per 1000) or more than 2 visits (30.9 per 1000).

Compared with people who met the Institute of Medicine definition for keeping HIV care appointments, those who did not had more than a doubled risk of death (Figure 2). Compared with those who met the DHHS definition for keeping appointments, those who did not also had more than a doubled risk of death (Figure 2). Compared with people who missed no visits, those who missed 1 or 2 had a doubled risk of death, and those who missed more than 2 had a tripled risk of death (Figure 2).


Appointment Keeping and Risk of Death

Appointment Keeping and Risk of Death

Figure 2. In a study of 3672 people starting antiretroviral therapy in the United States, not keeping HIV care appointments in the 2 years after starting treatment more than doubled the risk of death after those first 2 years of treatment, according to an Institute of Medicine (IOM) definition of appointment keeping and a Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS) definition. Compared with missing 0 visits, people who missed 1 or 2 visits had a doubled risk of death and those who missed more than 2 visits had a tripled risk of death.


Compared with whites, blacks had about a 50% higher risk of death after taking antiretrovirals for 2 years. Compared with people who started antiretroviral therapy with a CD4 count above 500, those who started with a count below 50 had more than a doubled risk of death after taking antiretrovirals for 2 years. Every 10 years of age raised the death risk about 50%. Death risk was similar in women and men.

Among people who met the Institute of Medicine definition or the DHHS definition of keeping HIV care appointments, about two thirds did miss at least 1 visit and one quarter missed more than 2 visits. Next the researchers conducted statistical analyses limited to people who met the Institute of Medicine and DHHS definitions for keeping appointments. Those who nevertheless missed 1 or 2 visits had about a 1.7 times higher death risk after the first 2 years of antiretroviral therapy. Those who missed more than 2 visits had a 3.6 times higher death risk after the first 2 years of antiretroviral therapy.

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This article was provided by The Center for AIDS Information & Advocacy. It is a part of the publication HIV Treatment ALERTS!. Visit CFA's website to find out more about their activities and publications.
 

 

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